If you need assistance, please call 630-276-7575

Economic Slowdown: What the Experts Are Saying

Monday, March 23, 2020   /   by Teresa Ryan

Economic Slowdown: What the Experts Are Saying

More and more economists are predicting a recession is imminent as the result of the pullback in the economy caused by COVID-19. According to the National Bureau of Economic Research:

“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.”


Bill McBride, the founder of Calculated Riskbelieves we are already in a recession:

With the sudden economic stop, and with many states shutting down by closing down schools, bars and restaurants…my view is the US economy is now in a recession (started in March 2020), and GDP will decline sharply in Q2. The length of the recession will depend on the course of the pandemic.”


How deep will it go?

No one knows for sure. It depends on how long it takes to beat this virus. Goldman Sachs anticipates we will see a difficult first half of the year, but the economy will recover in the second half (see below):
20200323-MEM-Eng-1.jpg

Goldman
 also projects we’ll have “further strong gains in early 2021.”


This aligns with the projection from Wells Fargo Investment Institute:

“Once the virus infection rate peaks, we expect a recovery to gain momentum into the final quarter of the year and especially into 2021.”


Again, no one knows for sure how long the pandemic will last. The hope is that it will resolve sometime over the next several months. Most agree that when it does, the economy will regain its strength quickly.

*QUARTER 1 DATA FROM GOLDMAN SACHS WAS UPDATED FROM 0% TO -0.2% ON 3/17/20 AFTER THE INITIAL RELEASE.



Bottom Line

This virus is not only impacting the physical health of Americans, but also the financial health of the nation. The sooner we beat it, the sooner our lives will return to normal.


Call
Teresa Ryan at 630-718-0424 today, for your home buying and selling needs in Naperville and the western Suburbs of Chicago. For inquiries, please call 630-276-7575.

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel for real estate insights, updates and news!
http://bit.ly/RHGChannel

Join us on social:
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RyanHillGroup/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/ryanhillgroup
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ryanhillgroup/


  teresa ryan, naperville il, century 21 affiliated naperville, ryan hill group, homebuyer, first time homebuyer, homebuying tips, home seller naperville, home buying tips, homeselling tips, real estate investor

Ryan Hill Group - Century 21 Affiliated
Teresa Ryan
1288 Rickert Dr., Third Floor
Naperville, IL 60540
630-276-7575

The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part from the Broker Reciprocity program of Midwest Real Estate Data LLC. Real Estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Ryan Hill Group - Century 21 Affiliated are marked with the Broker Reciprocity logo or the Broker Reciprocity thumbnail logo (a little black house) and detailed information about them includes the names of the listing brokers. Some properties which appear for sale on this website may subsequently have sold and may no longer be available. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. © Many homes contain recording devices, and buyers should be aware they may be recorded during a showing. Copyright © 2020 Midwest Real Estate Data LLC Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Properties marked with the MRED icon are provided courtesy of Midwest Real Estate Data, LLC. Broker Reciprocity. Use of this site constitutes agreement to the terms and conditions. DMCA Notice