If you need assistance, please call 630-276-7575

The #1 Reason It Is Difficult to Find Your Dream Home

Thursday, January 23, 2020   /   by Teresa Ryan

The #1 Reason It Is Difficult to Find Your Dream Home

The headlines in real estate today all revolve around one major point: there is a shortage of homes available for sale. Price appreciation is accelerating again because there is a shortage of homes available for sale. First-time buyers are taking longer to purchase a home because there is a shortage of homes available for sale in the lower price points. Boomers are staying in their current homes longer because there is a shortage of homes available for sale to which they would move. In certain markets, affordability is becoming more challenging because there is a shortage of homes available for sale.

The #1 Reason It Is Difficult to Find Your Dream Home.jpg

What’s the major reason for this lack of housing inventory?

The issue was examined in a recent article by the National Home Builders Association (NAHB). In the article, Robert Dietz, Chief Economist for NAHB, explained:

“Home building in the 2010s was a story of the Long Recovery. After the Great Recession, the number of home builders declined significantly, and housing production was unable to meet buyer demand…Years of population and household formation growth, combined with relatively reduced levels of home building, have left the market with a critical supply shortage.”

Here are the single-family home construction starts by decade for the last six decades:

20200123-MEM-Eng-1 (1).jpg

Obviously, there’s a current shortage of homes for sale because not enough houses were built over the last ten years. To add to the challenge, the U.S. population expanded by more than 20 million people during the 2010s.

Below is a graph showing the number of starts per every million in population. The last decade shows that starts per population were less than half the average of the previous five decades.20200123-MEM-Eng-2.jpg

There’s good news coming!

The NAHB article explains that there is light at the end of the tunnel.

How confident home builders are in the housing market is a great indicator of how much building is about to get started. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair,” or “poor.” The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average,” or “low to very low.” Scores for each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as “good” than “poor.”

Here are the HMI readings going back to 2008:20200123-MEM-Eng-3.jpg

The 2019 confidence reading of 76 was the highest since 1999. The January 2020 index came in one point lower at 75. These readings indicate we should see an increase in new residential construction in 2020. Just last week, NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde stated:

“Low interest rates and a healthy labor market combined with a need for additional inventory are setting the stage for further home building gains in 2020.”

The increase in housing starts has already begun. According to the January report from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, single-family housing starts were up 11.2% and attained the highest level in thirteen years.


Bottom Line

Whether you’re a first-time buyer or a seller thinking of moving up or down, 2020 could be your year with more new construction homes coming to market.


Call
Teresa Ryan at 630-718-0424 today, for your home buying and selling needs in Naperville and the western Suburbs of Chicago. For inquiries, please call 630-276-7575.

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel for real estate insights, updates and news!
http://bit.ly/RHGChannel

Join us on social:

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RyanHillGroup/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/ryanhillgroup
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ryanhillgroup/


  teresa ryan, naperville il, century 21 affiliated naperville, homebuyer, ryan hill group, first time homebuyer, home seller naperville, homebuying tips, real estate investor

Ryan Hill Group - Century 21 Affiliated
Teresa Ryan
1288 Rickert Dr, Ste 300
Naperville, IL 60540
630-276-7575
630-718-0424

The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part from the Broker Reciprocity program of Midwest Real Estate Data LLC. Real Estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Ryan Hill Group - Century 21 Affiliated are marked with the Broker Reciprocity logo or the Broker Reciprocity thumbnail logo (a little black house) and detailed information about them includes the names of the listing brokers. Some properties which appear for sale on this website may subsequently have sold and may no longer be available. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. © Many homes contain recording devices, and buyers should be aware they may be recorded during a showing. Copyright © 2020 Midwest Real Estate Data LLC Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Properties marked with the MRED icon are provided courtesy of Midwest Real Estate Data, LLC. Broker Reciprocity. Use of this site constitutes agreement to the terms and conditions. DMCA Notice